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Getafe vs R. Racing Club

Sun 23 Aug 2026, 07:30 UTC · Round 2 · Data confidence: Low (promoted/new team)

Match Result (1X2)

Getafe win: 34.5%

Draw: 38.1%

R. Racing Club win: 27.4%

Predicted: Draw

Both Teams to Score

Probability of Yes: 41.6%

Total Goals

Under 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 39.2%

Corners

Expected total corners: 8.64

More corners: R. Racing Club (42.0% home / 58.0% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Getafe

Yes

Probability Getafe wins or draws: 67.3%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result No strong lean Outcomes are close together -- the model doesn't see a clear favourite. (38.0% model probability) Low

Both Teams to Score No (58.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Under 2.5 (61.0% model probability) High

Corners R. Racing Club (more corners) (58.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Getafe win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (67.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.